How do Baez and Rune fare behind their second serves? Over the past six months, Baez has secured 45.71% of the points played on his second serve. In contrast, Rune has slightly outpaced him with a 48.45% success rate. This performance indicator significantly influences the match outcome predictions. Can a player's return game turn the tide? Lately, Baez has managed to clinch 46.08% of points when returning opponents' second serves, whereas Rune trails behind with 42.86% in this category. Evaluating first serve return capabilities, Baez again holds the advantage with a rate of 31.74% compared to Rune's 23.12%. These statistics are critical in forecasting which player might have the upper hand in this head-to-head encounter.

When under pressure, who stands firm? Baez has managed to save 50.19% of the breakpoints he faces, while Rune showcases a stronger resolve, saving 54.64% in similar scenarios. These numbers can be particularly insightful for those interested in in-game betting predictions. How does their past performance compare? In the last year, Baez has emerged victorious in 50.85% of his matches (30 wins to 29 losses), while Rune's win rate stands at a promising 63.64% (42 wins against 24 losses), presenting a substantial edge in their overall head-to-head prediction. What surfaces bring out the best in these two? Baez excels on clay, with a career win rate of 71% (228 wins and 94 losses). However, his struggles are glaring on indoor hard courts, where he has managed only a 14% win rate (3 wins to 19 losses). Conversely, Rune shines brightest on indoor hard courts with a 71% success rate (70 wins and 28 losses) yet faces challenges on outdoor hard courts, winning 57% of his matches (60 wins and 46 losses).

Delving deeper, how does event level play a role? Over the past year, Baez has concentrated his efforts mostly on the main tour, winning 59.38% of his matches (19 wins and 13 losses). Rune, on the other hand, has primarily competed in the Masters series, achieving a 67.86% win ratio (19 wins to 9 losses). This aspect is crucial as the level of competition can affect win percentages and predictions. What can we glean from their head-to-head history? Baez has reigned victorious in three out of the five encounters, amassing six set wins against Rune's five. Their last face-off at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia in Rome on clay saw Baez clinch victory with scores of 2-6, 6-2, 6-3. In terms of match length, they typically battle it out for an average of 1 hour, 38 minutes, and 39 seconds per match.

If today's match requires a deciding set, who is favored? Baez boasts a track record of winning the only deciding set played between them, whereas Rune hasn't claimed any. Both players have a balanced tie-break record between each other, each capturing one. Who faces tougher opponents? Over the last year, Baez's adversaries averaged a ranking of 201.59, whereas Rune has faced tougher competition, with opponents holding an average rank of 150.47. If today's match progresses to a deciding set, in broader terms, Baez has a 52% win rate over the last year, while Rune edges him out with a 68% success rate.

An intuitive look at their breakpoint conversion rates reveals Baez converting 35.71% of opportunities, just slightly ahead of Rune, who stands at 35.19%. This statistic is crucial for those contemplating live betting predictions during breakpoint scenarios. Based on these various angles, Rune appears to hold a statistical edge in predicting who might emerge victorious in this intriguing match-up.